Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 2.984802e-05 3.559353e-05 0.000042 0.000049 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076
2025-03-16 2.157594e-05 2.877556e-05 0.000037 0.000048 0.000060 0.000074 0.000091
2025-03-23 1.641085e-05 2.425274e-05 0.000034 0.000047 0.000063 0.000082 0.000106
2025-03-30 1.252034e-05 2.046462e-05 0.000031 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000118
2025-04-06 9.396256e-06 1.704550e-05 0.000028 0.000044 0.000065 0.000092 0.000128
2025-04-13 6.653381e-06 1.358116e-05 0.000024 0.000040 0.000063 0.000092 0.000133
2025-04-20 5.013104e-06 1.145731e-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000063 0.000095 0.000141
2025-04-27 3.960297e-06 1.007911e-05 0.000021 0.000038 0.000064 0.000100 0.000152
2025-05-04 3.304938e-06 9.273547e-06 0.000020 0.000039 0.000067 0.000108 0.000166
2025-05-11 3.088454e-06 9.289224e-06 0.000021 0.000041 0.000074 0.000119 0.000186
2025-05-18 2.672341e-06 8.785171e-06 0.000021 0.000043 0.000077 0.000128 0.000202
2025-05-25 1.870351e-06 7.172183e-06 0.000018 0.000040 0.000075 0.000127 0.000205
2025-06-01 1.209835e-06 5.756265e-06 0.000016 0.000038 0.000075 0.000130 0.000216
2025-06-08 7.732731e-07 4.684658e-06 0.000015 0.000037 0.000075 0.000135 0.000229
2025-06-15 4.965103e-07 3.901255e-06 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000142 0.000245
2025-06-22 2.919343e-07 3.162492e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000078 0.000147 0.000258
2025-06-29 1.477743e-07 2.453842e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000150 0.000269
2025-07-06 5.283142e-08 1.728062e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000074 0.000149 0.000273
2025-07-13 1.882296e-08 1.319317e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000074 0.000152 0.000284
2025-07-20 6.397446e-09 1.071008e-06 0.000008 0.000029 0.000075 0.000158 0.000299
2025-07-27 2.239039e-09 9.350033e-07 0.000008 0.000029 0.000078 0.000167 0.000319
2025-08-03 1.484265e-09 9.508282e-07 0.000008 0.000032 0.000085 0.000182 0.000350
2025-08-10 4.148325e-10 8.638815e-07 0.000008 0.000033 0.000089 0.000193 0.000374